Research
Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s...
Weekly Market Commentary
- Global Portfolio Strategy | September Fed Rate Cut Is Probably a Lock as Job Growth Slows | September 9, 2025
LPL Research recaps a month of continued S&P 500 strength, reasons for a likely Fed rate cut, and small cap outperformance.
- Weekly Market Commentary | Stocks Are Following the Market’s Playbook | September 8, 2025
LPL sees bull market strength as stocks follow recovery trends, with AI growth, Fed cuts, and economic resilience driving upside.
- Client Letter | Say Good-Bye to Summer and Hello to Historically Weak September | September 3, 2025
LPL Research highlights Fed rate cuts, strong earnings, and a resilient market outlook amid seasonal risks and policy shifts.
- Weekly Market Commentary | Calm Before the Storm: Can This Rally Continue in September? | September 2, 2025
Explore September stock market trends, S&P 500 seasonality, earnings growth, and Fed rate cut expectations in LPL Research’s Weekly Market Commentary.
- Thirty-Thousand Feet | At the Crossroads: The Dollar’s Pivotal Moment | August 2025
LPL Research explores the U.S. dollar’s pivotal moment at a potential turning point in its long-term bull market.
- Weekly Market Commentary | Grand Ideas at the Grand Tetons | August 25 2025
LPL Research examines recent Fed comments and what to expect moving forward.
Market Signal Podcast
Macro. Market. Movers
- Weekly Market Performance — September 12, 2025
LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of September 12, 2025, highlights key economic data, a full slate of Treasury auctions, and commodity market moves.
- Fragile Mandates and Rising Yields
LPL Research examines the role of recent political uncertainty in upward pressure on long-term sovereign bond yields in Japan and France.
- Resumption of Fed Easing Cycle Could Help Unlock Capital
LPL Research examines the dynamics between the market cap of U.S. equities and money market assets, and potential impacts of Fed rate cuts.
- Some Good News and Some Bad News About the Jobs Report
LPL Research explains why the ADP report is becoming a more reliable indicator for the nonfarm payroll release from the government.
- Weekly Market Performance — September 5, 2025
LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of September 2, 2025, highlights a mixed start to September, key labor market data, and Treasury market moves.
- Policy Shifts Could Reshape 401(k) Investing
LPL Research discusses how the new executive order signed on August 7, 2025 focuses on providing access to alternative investments via 401(k).
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