Research
2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine
In 2025, we observed a market environment where fiscal and monetary policy decisions, rather than traditional business fundamentals, were the primary drivers of market direction. This shift means that policy influence and market momentum have become significantly more impactful in shaping market trends, often overshadowing underlying economic performance…
Weekly Market Commentary
Weekly Market Commentary | What’s Holding Up Record S&P 500 Margins? | September 21, 2026
LPL Research analyzes S&P 500 margin expansion, assessing how much is structural versus cyclical and what that means for future earnings forecasts.
Weekly Market Commentary | What History Teaches Us About Fed Hikes & Stocks | September 14, 2026
Printer Friendly Version A hot CPI print. Friday’s slightly hot Consumer Price Index (CPI) report lifted the bond market’s odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) this week to near 90%. Markets take it in stride. The positive reactions from stocks and bonds were interesting, suggesting that perhaps market participants have been…
Weekly Market Commentary | Signs Point to a Normalization, Not a Crisis | September 8, 2026
August delivered the loudest bond market narrative in years, and almost none of it survived contact with the price action. Total public debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.33% intraweek, a level last seen in 2007.
Market Signal Podcast
Macro. Market. Movers
Weekly Market Performance | October 2, 2026
LPL’s Weekly Market Performance for the week of September 28, 2026, highlights weekly equity market drivers, bond market activity, and September payrolls.
Are Crack Spreads a Signal Beneath Oil Prices?
LPL Research discusses what diesel crack spreads are, and why markets are shifting their energy market focus one step deeper.
An Eventful Fourth Quarter Awaits
LPL Research discusses how markets entering Q4 face election uncertainty, higher bond yields, and earnings season, while fundamentals remain key.
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