Research
Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s...
Weekly Market Commentary
Weekly Market Commentary | Oil Prices, China, and U.S. Inflation Risks | July 20, 2026
LPL Research analyzes China’s declining crude imports, inflation risks, and the resilient U.S. economy driving above-trend growth.
Weekly Market Commentary | Keep Calm and Clip Coupons | July 13, 2026
Coming into 2026, we expected inflation to move closer to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, the Fed to cut rates by roughly 75 basis points (bps), and Treasury yields to drift lower.
Weekly Market Commentary | Is the Stock Market’s Rally a Sign of Excess? | June 29, 2026
Has Stock Market Exuberance Become Irrational? Printer Friendly Version A strong quarter across major indexes. The second quarter is winding down and what a quarter it has been with the S&P 500 up 12.6% quarter to date, while the Nasdaq-100 and Russell 2000 are both up over 20%. Despite some twists and turns, the path of…
Market Signal Podcast
Macro. Market. Movers
Why the 2026 Russell Rebalance Matters
LPL Research explores how the 2026 Russell reconstitution revealed a surprising shift: AI didn’t just drive returns. It changed the structure of major equity benchmarks.
Municipal Bonds at Midyear: Getting Paid to Wait
LPL Research explains why tax-equivalent yields on high-grade municipal bonds are near decade highs, making today’s income opportunities compelling.
Do Stocks Notice Higher Yields?
LPL Research discusses the relationship between stocks and Treasury yields when rates are elevated, and what this could mean for investors.
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