Research
Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy…
Weekly Market Commentary
Weekly Market Commentary | Keep Calm and Clip Coupons | July 13, 2026
Coming into 2026, we expected inflation to move closer to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, the Fed to cut rates by roughly 75 basis points (bps), and Treasury yields to drift lower.
Weekly Market Commentary | Is the Stock Market’s Rally a Sign of Excess? | June 29, 2026
Has Stock Market Exuberance Become Irrational? Printer Friendly Version A strong quarter across major indexes. The second quarter is winding down and what a quarter it has been with the S&P 500 up 12.6% quarter to date, while the Nasdaq-100 and Russell 2000 are both up over 20%. Despite some twists and turns, the path of…
Weekly Market Commentary | Kevin Warsh Could Shake Up the Fed | June 22, 2026
LPL Research examines Warsh’s evolving Fed approach, infrastructure-led growth, and the impact of China demand on oil prices.
Market Signal Podcast
Macro. Market. Movers
Free Cash Flow Adjustments Reflect Owner Economics
LPL Research analyses adjustments to headline free cash flow measurements that more accurately reflect owner economics.
Are French Bond Spreads Flashing a Warning Sign?
LPL Research discusses what is driving a rise in French government bond yields and what this may mean for global bond markets.
September Seasonals Weak Before Strong Q4
LPL Research explains why September often remains weak in midterm years and how stocks have historically rebounded in the fourth quarter.
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